Alert levels
I've been listening to the daily briefings but I must admit I'm not always paying attention until the questions start, but quite often the waffling continues so my mind wanders off. However, the last couple of days I've been thinking I must have missed something important in an earlier talk: how is the alert level calculated from the replication factor and the number of cases. So I thought I'd better ask Mr Google. What's the function, f, to calculate the alert level AL from R and the number of cases, N; that is: AL=f(R,N)Anyway, I didn't find it, just this article below. And it turns all we have us that: AL=R+N Complete and uttered Rubbish, yes with a capital R! It doesn't even warrant the description of psuedo maths- and speaking of R it seems to change from bering an average to a rate ... I assume it means it's purely up to Johnsons gut feeling based on a qualitative rather than a strict quantitative view of the numbers? Fine, again, just be honest, don't insult my intelligence. 🙁https://theconversation.com/coronavirus-why-the-maths-behind-covid-alert-levels-makes-no-sense-138634
Michael Ixer ● 2367d13 Comments ● 2365d